OR rules for Mutually exclusive events

Independent events

Conditional Probability

Binomial Situation

The “at least” scenario

Mutually Exclusive Independent
In 2 events - outcome of 1 definitely means that the other can’t occur In 2 events - outcome of 1 event doesn’t tell us anything about the outcome of the other event
Pulling a spade or pulling a heart form a deck of cards in 1 attempt. If we pull a heart, we obviously can’t pull a spade and vice-versa The weather will be cold & I will charge my phone
Condition : P(A and B) = 0 Condition : P(B
Hint: Is it possible for the 2 events to happen at the exact same time Hint: When one event happens, does this change or influence the outcome of the other event

Formulae

  1. Permutation & Combination

    Permutation Combination
    Pick & put into order Just pick, order doesn’t matter
    n! / (n-k)! n! / [(n-k)! * k!]
    Out of A,B, C, D, E, given the task of arranging 3 objects will be 5!/2! since here A-B-C, B-A-C, A-C-B etc. are counted as different cases Out of A,B, C, D, E, given the task of picking 3 objects will be 5!/(2!*3!) since here A-B-C, B-A-C, A-C-B etc. are counted as the same case
  2. OR Rules

    <aside> ⚡ $P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)$

    </aside>

    For mutually exclusive events, $P(AandB) = 0$

  3. For independent events

    <aside> ⚡ $P(AandB) = P(A)*P(B)$

    </aside>

  4. Conditional Probability → non-independent events (mostly deals with the “without replacement” cases)

    <aside> ⚡ $P(AandB) = P(A)*P(B|A)$ $P(AandB) = P(B)*P(A|B)$

    </aside>

  5. Binomial → probability of r successes in n independent trials

    <aside> ⚡ $P = C^n_rp^r[(1-p)^{n-r}]$

    </aside>

  6. “Atleast one”

    <aside> ⚡ $P(atleast1success) = 1 - P(nosuccess)$

    </aside>

  7. The conditions of “mutually exclusive” and “independent” are not common with people. More common with inanimate objects with dice, coins, cards, etc.

  8. Selection processes that are “without replacement” are NEVER independent.

  9. Overlap strategy for estimating answer range

    Screenshot 2022-06-30 at 11.24.33 AM.png

  10. When to use which technique

    1. Use formal algebraic rules IF

      Screenshot 2022-06-30 at 11.17.41 AM.png

    2. Use listing IF

      Screenshot 2022-06-30 at 11.18.17 AM.png

    3. Use counting technique if

      Screenshot 2022-06-30 at 11.18.47 AM.png

    4. Complement rule → if you see a “atleast one” scenario